WillItPop?

AI Market Stress Index

Updated Feb 27, 06:33 AM UTC

Today's Risk Score

60/ 100

HIGH RISK

Based on 48 articles from the last 48h

Score Explanation

Today's AI bubble risk is HIGH (74/100), driven primarily by elevated Regulation & Legal Risk (87.6/100) and significant Financial Stress (77.5/100). This indicates that while real adoption exists, regulatory uncertainty and potential financial vulnerabilities are the most dominant signals suggesting an overheated market susceptible to correction.

Signal Buckets

◈

Hype & Expansion

Valuations, predictions, funding frenzy

/ 100

17 articlesweight 30%

Bearish / Risky↑ risk

Contributes to overall score+20.5 pts

◉

Real Adoption & Revenue

Enterprise deployments, real revenue

/ 100

21 articlesweight 30%

Neutral↓ risk

Contributes to overall score+20.7 pts

◆

Financial Stress

Layoffs, missed targets, failures

/ 100

3 articlesweight 25%

Bearish / Risky↑ risk

Contributes to overall score+19.4 pts

◧

Regulation & Legal Risk

Lawsuits, bills, antitrust probes

/ 100

7 articlesweight 15%

Bearish / Risky↑ risk

Contributes to overall score+13.1 pts

Score History

Daily bubble risk trend

Low (< 20)

Moderate (20-40)

Elevated (40-60)

High (60-80)

Critical (> 80)

Transparent Signal Sources— every article used in score computation

Signal Sources

65 articles · every source used in score computation

India Built the World’s Back Office. A.I. Is Starting to Shrink It.

NYT Technology·1h ago

Real Adoption & RevenueFinancial Stress

Google Workers Seek ‘Red Lines’ on Military A.I., Echoing Anthropic

NYT Technology·3h ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

Block Cuts 40% of Its Work Force Because of Its Embrace of A.I.

NYT Technology·5h ago

Financial StressReal Adoption & Revenue

Anthropic Says It Cannot ‘Accede’ to Pentagon in Talks Over A.I.

NYT Technology·5h ago

Regulation & Legal RiskFinancial Stress

Anthropic CEO stands firm as Pentagon deadline looms

TechCrunch AI·7h ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

So, we’re getting Prada Meta AI glasses, right?

TechCrunch AI·10h ago

Hype & Expansion

Mistral AI inks a deal with global consulting giant Accenture

TechCrunch AI·11h ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Google launches Nano Banana 2 model with faster image generation

TechCrunch AI·14h ago

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

ThreatsDay Bulletin: Kali Linux + Claude, Chrome Crash Traps, WinRAR Flaws, LockBit & 15+ Stories

The Hacker News·16h ago

Real Adoption & Revenue

Trace raises $3M to solve the AI agent adoption problem in enterprise

TechCrunch AI·16h ago

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Figma partners with OpenAI to bake in support for Codex

TechCrunch AI·16h ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

A.I. Complicates Old Internet Privacy Risks

NYT Technology·20h ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

Gushwork bets on AI search for customer leads — and early results are emerging

TechCrunch AI·Yesterday

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Anthropic acquires computer-use AI startup Vercept after Meta poached one of its founders

TechCrunch AI·Yesterday

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Nvidia has another record quarter amid record capex spends

TechCrunch AI·Yesterday

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Nvidia’s Quarterly Profit Hits $43 Billion on Strong A.I. Chips Sales

NYT Technology·Yesterday

Real Adoption & Revenue

Gemini can now automate some multi-step tasks on Android

TechCrunch AI·Yesterday

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

OpenAI COO says ads will be ‘an iterative process’

TechCrunch AI·Yesterday

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Claude Code Flaws Allow Remote Code Execution and API Key Exfiltration

The Hacker News·Yesterday

Regulation & Legal Risk

OpenClaw creator’s advice to AI builders is to be more playful and allow yourself time to improve

TechCrunch AI·Yesterday

Hype & Expansion

About 12% of US teens turn to AI for emotional support or advice

TechCrunch AI·Yesterday

Real Adoption & RevenueRegulation & Legal Risk

Show HN: Respectify – A comment moderator that teaches people to argue better

Hacker News·Yesterday

Real Adoption & Revenue

Launch HN: TeamOut (YC W22) – AI agent for planning company retreats

Hacker News·Yesterday

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Jira’s latest update allows AI agents and humans to work side by side

TechCrunch AI·Yesterday

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Show HN: A real-time strategy game that AI agents can play

Hacker News·Yesterday

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Can A.I. Detection Tools Really Spot Fake Images and Videos?

NYT Technology·Yesterday

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & ExpansionRegulation & Legal Risk

LLM=True

Hacker News·Yesterday

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Claude Code Remote Control

Hacker News·Yesterday

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Pentagon Gives Anthropic an Ultimatum Over the Company’s A.I. Model

NYT Technology·2d ago

Regulation & Legal RiskReal Adoption & Revenue

India’s AI boom pushes firms to trade near-term revenue for users

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & RevenueFinancial Stress

Anthropic Drops Flagship Safety Pledge

Hacker News·2d ago

Regulation & Legal RiskHype & Expansion

Nvidia challenger AI chip startup MatX raised $500M

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Hype & Expansion

US Military leaders meet with Anthropic to argue against Claude safeguards

Hacker News·2d ago

Regulation & Legal RiskReal Adoption & Revenue

Wayve, an A.I. Driverless Car Start-Up in Europe, Raises $1.2 Billion

NYT Technology·2d ago

Hype & Expansion

Spanish ‘soonicorn’ Multiverse Computing releases free compressed AI model

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Mercury 2: The fastest reasoning LLM, powered by diffusion

Hacker News·2d ago

Hype & Expansion

A I-designed proteins may help spot cancer

MIT Tech Review·2d ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Show HN: Moonshine Open-Weights STT models – higher accuracy than WhisperLargev3

Hacker News·2d ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Anthropic won’t budge as Pentagon escalates AI dispute

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Regulation & Legal RiskFinancial Stress

‘A.I. Literacy’ Is the New Drivers’ Ed at This Newark School

NYT Technology·2d ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Racing to Catch Up With Nvidia, AMD Signs Chips-for-Stock Deal With Meta

NYT Technology·2d ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

RoguePilot Flaw in GitHub Codespaces Enabled Copilot to Leak GITHUB_TOKEN

The Hacker News·2d ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

OpenAI, the US government and Persona built an identity surveillance machine

Hacker News·2d ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

Show HN: Emdash – Open-source agentic development environment

Hacker News·2d ago

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

OpenAI COO says ‘we have not yet really seen AI penetrate enterprise business processes’

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Meta strikes up to $100B AMD chip deal as it chases ‘personal superintelligence’

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Anthropic launches new push for enterprise agents with plug-ins for finance, engineering, and design

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

New Relic launches new AI agent platform and OpenTelemetry tools

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Nimble raises $47M to give AI agents access to real-time web data

TechCrunch AI·2d ago

Hype & ExpansionReal Adoption & Revenue

Anthropic Says Chinese AI Firms Used 16 Million Claude Queries to Copy Model

The Hacker News·3d ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

A Meta AI security researcher said an OpenClaw agent ran amok on her inbox

TechCrunch AI·3d ago

Regulation & Legal RiskHype & Expansion

Pentagon Summons Anthropic Chief in Dispute Over A.I. Limits

NYT Technology·3d ago

Regulation & Legal RiskReal Adoption & Revenue

Anthropic Accuses 3 Chinese Companies of Harvesting Its Data

NYT Technology·3d ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

With AI, investor loyalty is (almost) dead: At least a dozen OpenAI VCs now also back Anthropic

TechCrunch AI·3d ago

Hype & ExpansionRegulation & Legal Risk

Anthropic accuses Chinese AI labs of mining Claude as US debates AI chip exports

TechCrunch AI·3d ago

Regulation & Legal RiskHype & Expansion

Backed by Anthropic, a Super PAC Group Begins an Ad Blitz in Support of A.I. Regulation

NYT Technology·3d ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

OpenAI calls in the consultants for its enterprise push

TechCrunch AI·3d ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

People Loved the Dot-Com Boom. The A.I. Boom, Not So Much.

NYT Technology·3d ago

Hype & ExpansionFinancial Stress

How Exposed Endpoints Increase Risk Across LLM Infrastructure

The Hacker News·3d ago

Regulation & Legal RiskReal Adoption & Revenue

AI-Assisted Threat Actor Compromises 600+ FortiGate Devices in 55 Countries

The Hacker News·5d ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

Anthropic Launches Claude Code Security for AI-Powered Vulnerability Scanning

The Hacker News·5d ago

Real Adoption & Revenue

EC-Council Expands AI Certification Portfolio to Strengthen U.S. AI Workforce Readiness and Security

The Hacker News·6d ago

Real Adoption & RevenueHype & Expansion

Cline CLI 2.3.0 Supply Chain Attack Installed OpenClaw on Developer Systems

The Hacker News·6d ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

The Pentagon vs. Anthropic + An A.I. Agent Slandered Me + Hot Mess Express

NYT Technology·6d ago

Regulation & Legal Risk

A.I. Isn’t Coming for Every White-Collar Job. At Least Not Yet.

NYT Technology·6d ago

Hype & Expansion